Sunday, October 31, 2010
Our NBC affiliate, KTIV in Sioux City, asked both "C's" about the numbers.
Sunday, Fair Courts for Us held a 4pm telephone conference call featuring two former Iowa governors: Republican Bob Ray and Democrat Tom Vilsack. Vilsack wouldn't say he was worried the judges were going down. He did agree with Ray that he is concerned Iowans don't fully realize what their vote is about on Tuesday. The concern is that Iowans ticked off that same-sex marriage is now legal want to take down the judges to turn things back to the way they used to be when same-sex couples couldn't legal marry in Iowa. That won't happen, of course, with this retention vote. But the govs aren't so sure people realize that. This whole issue is fascinating to me. It's always the unexpected issues that intrigue me the most.
Here's what the govs had to say:
It's a Republican year.But then, The Des Moines Register got a hold of a police report from a decade ago when Zaun's former girlfriend had called police to say he was harassing her and pounding on her house one night. Later Zaun flipped his position on ethanol subsidies. First, he was against them. Then, he seemed to support them. National Republicans held onto their money and put it other races. Boswell and national Democrats kept pounding away. I don't recall Boswell ever running this many negative ads before this race. Zaun has started airing a commercial the last few days with his wife. No question the Boswell ads/police report have hurt his standing with women. Will the new ad do any good or has the damage been done?
Health care reform, cap and trade and the federal stimulus were less than popular with voters.
Boswell's Republican challenger, Brad Zaun, is a former mayor, hardware shop owner and current state senator, making him well-known in the metro.
Fast forward a bit...and insiders were saying, no, it's the 1st District that could change hands. It wasn't that long ago that Democrat Bruce Braley seemed like he would have no real problems getting re-elected. Braley's mentioned on the shortest of short lists when people start to speculate about Democrats who could replace Democratic U.S. Senator Tom Harkin, if Harkin decides not to run again. But then...the American Future Fund dropped in a mess of money ($800,000 if my memory is accurate) going after Braley. All of a sudden, little-known Independence Republican attorney Ben Lange starting closing the gap and the national folks started paying a lot more attention to this race. Vice-President Joe Biden just flew into town to help Braley, probably not a destination figured would be on the travel itinerary a short time ago.
But...now, the latest talk is that...wait a minute...it's the 2nd District that could actually have the best chance of changing colors. Former college professor Dave Loebsack may not have the easy road to victory fellow Democrats once thought. This is the district that kept Republican Congressman Jim Leach in office for 30 years. Mariannette Miller-Meeks, who ran against him 2 years ago, is running again. She quit her job and loaned her campaign nearly half-a-million bucks (can I get some of that?). Now, Republicans have eyes on her chances there.
I'm getting dizzy.
Friday, October 29, 2010
Thursday, October 28, 2010
- 2009 School Election
- 2008 Primary Election
- 2004 School Election
- 2003 School Election
- 2003 City Election
- 2002 Primary Election
- 2002 School Election
- 2001 City Election
- 2001 School Election
- 2000 Primary Election
Saturday, October 23, 2010
On this tour, along with Branstad (a former governor, of course), you have former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour, Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty, Lousiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, Virginia Gov. Bob McDonnell. How many of them want to be president? Hmmm....
So why does Branstad want all these other govs for the tour? I asked his Communications Director Tim Albrecht. Here's what he said:
"These visits will provide for enthusiastic events throughout the state as we enter the final week of the campaign. Our supporters are energized, and this will help mobilize them as we continue our get out the vote efforts."At least at this point, it is more of a day-to-day approach for Democratic Governor Chet Culver's campaign. His campaign has released some details of his "Main Street vs. Wall Street tour". All we now at this point is that it begins Monday at Baby Boomers Monday in Des Moines. Just one governor, as far as I know on this tour:)
Black and White: So which candidate gets the Des Moines Register's editorial endorsement Sunday a.m.? Would this be the final nail in the coffin for the Culver campaign if Branstad gets it? On the other hand, how big a boost would it be for Culver in the campaign's final week plus?
The Register also makes its pick for the U.S. Senate race. The paper has picked all five Democrats in the Congressional races so far. Will it do it again in favor of long-shot candidate Roxanne Conlin? Or does the paper go with Republican long-timer, Chuck Grassley?
Friday, October 22, 2010
Tuesday, October 19, 2010
Saturday, October 16, 2010
He used a football analogy (appropriate on this football Saturday). He said if Dems were a football team, they would be 8-8 (hardly Heisman-hype-type talk, huh?). But Repubs, if they were a team, they would be only 3-13. So he asks why people would want to go back to that lesser record?
He called Culver's opponent, Terry Branstad's opposition to Culver's universal, state-funded pre-k education "about the dumbest idea I've ever heard". And goes on to ask, "What's he thinking. Is he thinking?"
He said Dems have the momentum. But he asked, "Will we get there in time?"
Finally, Culver, as you know, is called the Big Lug, by some supporters. Rendell said, "Knowing Chet and looking at him, when he gets momentum, pretty hard to bring down".
No one said Rendell was boring! ">Here's the video from Rendell Raw.
Chi Chi Chi Le Le Le!--MSNBC (anybody figure out what its new slogan, "Learn forward", means yet?) reports just how captivated we were with the miraculous rescue of those 33 trapped Chilean miners. The cable network said the only event for which it provided more live video streams was President Barack Obama's inauguration. 10 million live video streams, wow.
Thursday, October 14, 2010
I also revisited a topic with him for which I have struggled to get information throughout the year: his I-JOBS program. I looked up unemployment rates since I-JOBS began and compared that to the national average during that time. Here's what I found:
July, 2009 Iowa Unemployment rate: 6.1% Latest report: 6.8%
U.S. Unemployment rate 9.4% Latest report: 9.6%
Iowa has had Culver's I-JOBS program and the federal stimulus program going on during that time. I wanted the governor to tell us why the Iowa rate has gone up despite that millions of I-JOBS money spent. The governor never really gave us an answer. His campaign later told me the unemployment rate would be worse if it weren't for I-JOBS.
You can see the entire interview on "The Insiders" on Channel 13 this Sunday at 9:30a.m. Did I mention it will be in high-definition (the bosses like it when we mention that:)
Lean Forward: That is MSNBC's new slogan. Can someone please explain what it means? Sorry, I just don't get it.
Rabbitson Cooper: I wondered why Anderson Cooper wasn't live on CNN from Chile from the site of that amazing miners' rescue. It turns out he came to Des Moines. And he dressed up like this?
Cooper is doing a piece at the Great Ape Trust. He tweeted this picture of himself. This story offers a little background for your obvious question...WHAT is he doing?
Tuesday, October 12, 2010
"My game plan is do this by myself. I've been told what they're doing is helping other races. I guess they're involved in races, looking at races that have a larger spread in regards to being, in regards to polling. I think that's kind of a calculated risk they're doing. I think that's kind of a calculated risk they're doing. I don't know why they're doing that."
Latest Polling Results Show Dramatic Shift in Governor's Race
Posted on Tuesday, October 12 at 2:19pm
DES MOINES -- Governor Chet Culver’s Campaign Manager, Donn Stanley, today announced that the battle for the Governor's Office is now an 8-point race. A poll of 600 general election Iowa voters conducted by Global Strategies Group found that 39 percent support Governor Chet Culver versus 47 percent for Terry Branstad. Four percent support another candidate, and 9 percent are undecided.
"Chet Culver clearly has the momentum," Stanley said. "Iowans are seeing more and more that Chet Culver has the vision to carry our state forward, while Terry Branstad wants to take us back to the same failed policies and broken promises. In the final three weeks of this campaign Governor Culver will continue to work tirelessly to close the remaining gap and win this race for the people of Iowa."
The poll was conducted from Oct. 7-10, 2010, by the Global Strategy Group. Six hundred Iowa voters were polled. The margin of error in the poll is +/- 4.0%.
This "dramatic shift" the campaign claims is based on comparing two different polls with two different methodologies. The campaign is attempting to show movement in this race by comparing the results of this poll, which the campaign paid for, and the Des Moines Register's Iowa Poll. The Iowa Poll showed Culver trailing badly to Branstad by 19 points. I wanted to see a clearer measure of the claims of a dramatic shift for Culver by comparing Culver's current campaign poll to a previous one using the same methodology. His campaign refused to release results of an earlier poll and responded with this statement:
We feel this poll is a good snapshot of Governor Culver's momentum at this point in the cycle. While we all agree the only poll that matters is on election day, we'll let this poll speak for itself. Considering Tim Albrecht's statement about our poll, the obvious question is why Terry Branstad isn't releasing the results of their own internal polling?Albrecht is Branstad's campaign communications director. He sent this out in response to the Culver poll:
1. Consider the source. Polls released by campaigns are normally done so for political purposes by desperate candidates.I don't recall seeing any internal polls Branstad's campaign has released.
2. Hard to believe that any incumbent would take comfort in sitting below 40% three weeks from election.
3. Independent third party polls show TEB consistently above 50% and Governor Culver in the mid to low 30%s.
4. The only poll that counts is the one conducted on election day.
Sunday, October 10, 2010
More to See: Forget "the View" and whatever that new show Julie Chen and those other 18 women are doing for CBS. The Des Moines Register's Rehka Basu is starting an on-line show. She will feature First Lady Mari Culver this week and former First Lady Chris Branstad the following week. Always good to see more options, especially LOCAL ones:)
"No one political party can take anything for granted. And if the Democrats had been keeping their ear to the ground the last 15 months, I don't think the trend would be so much in favor of the Republicans."Grassley's opponent, Roxanne Conlin, has been complaining Grassley has made himself scarce lately. I've noticed she has been dropping in messages in the social media to make her point. Here's what she said in a recent Twitter post:
Charles City ROCKS! Always a great group with smart questions. Floyd County is critical to our victory. And where in the world is Sen GFoolish Favre: Is Brett Favre really stupid enough to take a cell phone picture of his junk and send it to a woman other than his wife? Wow, and I thought I was just annoyed with the endless "Will he retire or won't he" b.s. after every season with him. Can the NFL really suspend him for this? And Favre won't talk about the whole thing. Sorry, dude, but that doesn't make us think you are innocent on this one. Why won't you talk about the allegations? Maybe you could sext us your response.
Friday, October 08, 2010
Interesting and fairly lively debate.The Cedar Rapids Gazette's Todd Dorman saw no game changer. He said Culver hit some singles but failed to get the home run he needed since he is down big late in the game. Culver did get props from retired University of Iowa Professor Bruce Gronbeck in a Quad City Times story.
If nothing else Culvers closing comment about Branstad “in the 1920’s” sealed his fate! He seemed rattled.
Also, Culver was sweating (Nixon debate) and kept touching his nose which is a terrible no no - Poker players see that as a clue that you are lying about the hand you are playing.
Thursday, October 07, 2010
For the dedicated, it is the second gubernatorial debate, this time at Coe College in Cedar Rapids. Here's what we know:
Culver's campaign tells me he will come after Branstad for failing to offer a plan on helping Cedar Rapids recover from the record floods of 2008. The campaign said CC will also hit TB on what it calls "broken promises".
Branstad's campaign offered a few more specific targets tonight. TB plans on talking about his plans for job creation (although, the campaign said we shouldn't expect new jobs ideas from TB). TB plans to come after CC if he fails to answer questions from the moderators like CC did in the first debate (CC used his time instead to attack TB). The campaign is also talking up CC's skills as a debater.
Here are my questions:
Will CC use the same strategy and avoid answering questions and use all his time ripping on TB? Will voters tolerate that for a second straight debate?
Will TB offer any more specifics about his plan to create 200,000 jobs and to trim 15% from the state budget?
Will CC lay out a vision for his second term or concentrate his time on calling TB a "liar, dishonest, etc."?
Will TB visibly show that he is annoyed again with CC's performance/attacks, etc.?
Who will look like he is the best person to lead the state's recovery efforts?
Let me know what you thought? Who scored points? Who won? Will this debate make any difference?
Sunday, October 03, 2010
"I went to vote today and Obama wasn't even on the balot. How can the president not be on the balot. That is RACEISM! he will loose if nobody cant vote for him. You MUST INVESTIGATE this."
President Pence--Yes, I think you should add him to the short list (is it short still?) of the presidential possibilities for the Republican Party in 2012. Radio Iowa's O. Kay Henderson gives the word for word like only she can from Saturday night's Iowa Faith & Freedom Coalition banquet at the Iowa State Fairgrounds.
Flying High--We were nervous about taking our 9-week-old on his first airplane to see his mommy's family in Tampa. Facebook friends gave us some good advice (keeping a pacifier and a bottle handy to help him when his ears tried to pop with the altitude changes). And they worked great! No problems at all. Although, perhaps, the true test will be when he and my wife return Monday night (I came back early for work). Make us proud, Hayden:)