Friday, August 13, 2010

Boswell Race Makes MSNBC Prediction List

November Madness: March Madness in college basketball gives us the 64-team field (well, it used to be 64 before they started trying to add an extra team or two in there). MSNBC has its own field of 64 out today. It's First Read's prediction of the most likely seats that could flip from one party to the other in Congress this November. One Iowa race makes the list, albeit near the end. 3rd District Congressman Leonard Boswell, the Democrat, vs. Urbandale State Senator Brad Zaun, the Republican. You have to scan down the list to find it.

1. TN-6 (D-Open-Gordon retiring)
2. LA-3 (D-Open-Melancon running for Senate)
3. LA-2 (R-Cao)
4. DE-AL (R-Open-Castle running for Senate)
5. AR-2 (D-Open-Snyder retiring)
6. NY-29 (D-Open-Massa retired)
7. NM-2 (D-Teague)
8. OH-1 (D-Driehaus)
9. IN-8 (D-Open-Ellsworth running for Senate)
10. MD-1 (D-Kratovil)
11. KS-3 (D-Open-Moore retiring)
12. IL-10 (R-Open-Kirk running for Senate)
13. OH-15 (D-Kilroy)
14. HI-1 (R-Djou)
15. VA-2 (D-Nye)
16. VA-5 (D-Perriello)
17. MS-1 (D-Childers)
18. CO-4 (D-Markey)
19. PA-7 (D-Open-Sestak running for Senate)
20. PA-11 (D-Kanjorski)
21. FL-8 (D-Grayson)
22. NY-24 (D-Arcuri)
23. MI-1 (D-Open-Stupak retiring)
24. NH-1 (D-Shea-Porter)
25. SD-AL (D-Herseth-Sandlin)
26. NV-3 (D-Titus)
27. ND-AL (D-Pomeroy)
28. PA-3 (D-Dahlkemper)
29. FL-24 (D-Kosmas)
30. NH-2 (D-Open-Hodes running for Senate)
31. MI-7 (D-Schauer freshman)
32. TN-8 (D-Open-Tanner retiring)
33. TX-17 (D-Edwards)
34. AL-2 (D-Bright)
35. CA-3 (R-Lungren)
36. AZ-8 (D-Giffords)
37. OH-16 (D-Boccieri)
38. AR-1 (D-Berry)
39. SC-5 (D-Spratt)
40. WI-7 (D-Open-Obey retiring)
41. TX-23 (D-Rodriguez)
42. NY-19 (D-Hall)
43. FL-2 (D-Boyd)
44. WA-3 (D-Open-Baird retiring)
45. KY-6 (D-Chandler)
46. FL-25 (R-Diaz-Balart)
47. CA-11 (D-McNerney)
48. IN-9 (D-Hill)
49. IN-2 (D-Donnelly)
50. NC-8 (D-Kissell)
51. IL-11 (D-Halvorson)
52. IL-14 (D-Foster)
53. PA-15 (R-Dent)
54. WA-8 (R-Reichert)
55. WV-1 (D-Open-Mollohan lost in primary)
56. AL-5 (R-Open-Griffith lost in a primary)
57. VA-11 (D-Connolly)
58. IA-3 (D-Boswell)
59. AZ-5 (D-Mitchell)
60. AZ-1 (D-Kirkpatrick)
61. MO-4 (D-Skelton)
62. MI-9 (D-Peters)
63. OH-13 (D-Sutton)
64. NY-20 (D-Murphy)

Reds Seeing Red: Thanks, Brandon Phillips. Phillips is the 2nd basemen for the Cincinnati Reds who ran his mouth dogging my St. Louis Cardinals just as the series began. At the time, the Reds lead the division over the Cards. Phillips mouthed off, the two teams had a brawl on the field and the Cardinals swept the 3-game series. You think the loudmouth regrets spouting off now? I would love to have had a camera in the Reds locker room after the Cards finished off the series. I bet Phillips wasn't so cocky then to his teammates. Perhaps, they had a few choice words for him after his words of stupidity looked to energize the Cards into the 3-game butt-kicking. Thanks, Brandon. Here's the fight in case you need a distraction today at work.


desmoinesdem said...

I've seen several other House prediction charts that place the IA-03 in the high 50s or low 60s in terms of party-switch likelihood. In other words, it's not one of the Republicans' top pickup opportunities by a longshot.

Dave Price said...

Probably true, desmoinesdem. It's on the list so far, but that's about it, as far as the Republicans can go.